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Liga 2
PSPS vs Psgc Ciamis
Sun 08 Nov 14:00 0 minutes final 2–1 · 1 won · 0 lostPs
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 84.3%
why
• league PROVEN (84.1%, n=44)
• type ledger 75% (n=2258)
• draw-prone league - 'either team wins' dies on draws
league track
proven · 84.1% of 44 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 70.6%)
draws 31.7% of matches draw-prone
team history 10/10 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2258, 90d ledger)
measured band: 76.5% (n=677)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
84.3%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (84.3%)
@ 08 Nov 10:39
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
77.8%
Draw
15.7%
Away win
6.5%
calibrated 08 Nov 10:39
scoring fit λ 2.55 / μ 0.65
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 271 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
6.5%
|
15.31x | 57.2% n=271 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
15.7%
|
6.38x | 57.2% n=271 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
77.8%
|
1.28x | 57.2% n=271 | solid | won |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 1 meetings — PSPS 1W / 0D / 0L
· momentum PSPS 2.17 ppg vs Psgc Ciamis 0.17 ppg
PSPS · last 6
08 Nov · Liga 2
2-1
W
03 Nov · League Cup Indonesia
1-3
L
01 Nov · Liga 2
1-1
D
24 Oct · Liga 2
2-3
W
18 Oct · Liga 2
4-1
W
11 Oct · Liga 2
2-1
W
Psgc Ciamis · last 6
08 Nov · Liga 2
2-1
L
04 Nov · League Cup Indonesia
6-0
L
31 Oct · Liga 2
0-2
L
24 Oct · Liga 2
2-1
L
17 Oct · Liga 2
0-0
D
10 Oct · Liga 2
4-0
L
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Liga 2
PSPS 2-1 Psgc Ciamis