NetScore Engine v2

Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED

RECOMMENDED

Home or Draw · 78.1%

book 1.30x · even 1.30-1.55x

why

• league OK (70.8%, n=24)

• type ledger 80% (n=1980)

• priced 1.30x - band hits ~65% (60d)

league track

ok · 70.8% of 24 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 50.8%)

draws 35.0% of matches

team history 22/19 games (180d)

bet type · time of day

DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1980, 90d ledger)

measured band: 79.7% (n=576)

night 00-06 kickoffs: 75.3% hit (n=473)

What we suggest

All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.

Recommended

78.1%

Home or Draw

engine's strongest option for this match

MED risk

Value

No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.

PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade

Pick validation — what the engine actually published

This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.

Home or Draw solid (78.1%)

@ 09 Nov 00:19 · 1.30x

pick lost

1X2 — engine vs market

Home win

54.7%

Draw

23.4%

Away win

21.9%

calibrated 09 Nov 00:19

scoring fit λ 1.76 / μ 1.02

model–market gap 0.0%

Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID

backtested 28 Oct · 187 matches of this league

fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.

1X2

pick	chance	fair	backtest	verdict	result
Away win	21.8%	4.58x	50.8% n=187	risky	won
Draw	23.4%	4.27x	50.8% n=187	risky	lost
top Home win	54.7%	1.83x	50.8% n=187	risky	lost

Form & head-to-head

H2H record: 2 meetings — Municipal Lim… 1W / 0D / 1L · momentum Municipal L… 1.0 ppg vs Atletico Ba… 1.67 ppg

Municipal Limeño · last 6

16 Nov · Primera Division 1-1 D

09 Nov · Primera Division 3-4 L

01 Nov · Primera Division 1-1 D

25 Oct · Primera Division 3-3 D

17 Oct · Primera Division 1-2 W

11 Oct · Primera Division 2-3 L

Atletico Balboa · last 6

09 Nov · Primera Division 3-4 W

01 Nov · Primera Division 1-0 W

24 Oct · Primera Division 1-2 W

18 Oct · Primera Division 2-2 D

11 Oct · Primera Division 0-1 L

04 Oct · Primera Division 3-2 L

Head-to-head last 5

09 Nov 26 · Primera Division Municipal Limeño 3-4 Atletico Balboa

06 Sep 26 · Primera Division Atletico Balboa 0-2 Municipal Limeño

Municipal Limeño vs Atletico Balboa