HOME
Primera Division
FAS vs Inter
Tomorrow 03:00 1 day
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 78.2%
why
• league OK (70.8%, n=24)
• type ledger 80% (n=1995)
league track
ok · 70.8% of 24 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 50.8%)
draws 38.3% of matches
team history 26/19 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.8% hit (n=1995, 90d ledger)
measured band: 79.6% (n=583)
night 00-06 kickoffs: 75.4% hit (n=475)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
78.2%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Home or Draw
solid (78.2%)
@ 10 Nov 23:53
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
49.1%
Draw
29.1%
Away win
21.8%
calibrated 10 Nov 23:53
scoring fit λ 1.73 / μ 1.11
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 187 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
21.8%
|
4.59x | 50.8% n=187 | risky |
| Draw |
29.1%
|
3.43x | 50.8% n=187 | risky |
| top Home win |
49.1%
|
2.04x | 50.8% n=187 | risky |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 5 meetings — FAS 3W / 2D / 0L
· momentum FAS 1.33 ppg vs Inter 1.0 ppg
FAS · last 6
09 Nov · Primera Division
2-2
D
02 Nov · Primera Division
1-1
D
26 Oct · Primera Division
3-1
L
19 Oct · Primera Division
2-3
L
11 Oct · Primera Division
0-1
W
09 Oct · Primera Division
2-1
W
Inter · last 6
08 Nov · Primera Division
1-2
L
31 Oct · Primera Division
0-0
D
24 Oct · Primera Division
0-2
W
17 Oct · Primera Division
1-2
L
12 Oct · Primera Division
2-2
D
05 Oct · Primera Division
1-1
D
Head-to-head last 5
17 Sep 26 · Primera Division
Inter 2-2 FAS
16 Apr 26 · Primera Division
Inter 2-2 FAS
19 Feb 26 · Primera Division
FAS 3-1 Inter
02 Nov 25 · Primera Division
Inter 0-2 FAS
31 Aug 25 · Primera Division
FAS 3-1 Inter