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Ekstraliga Women
GKS Katowice Women vs Akademia Piłkarska LG
Sat 07 Nov 18:00 0 minutes final 3–0 · settledAk
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RISK
RISK
Under 6.5 goals · 92.7%
why
• league OK (58.3%, n=12)
• type ledger 100% (n=28)
• totals are accuracy-only - no pricing edge at book prices (90d: every slice negative; only U2.5/U3.5 carry edge, overs all lose)
league track
ok · 58.3% of 12 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 32.0%)
draws 21.7% of matches
team history 12/12 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
OU-U6.5: 100.0% hit (n=28, 90d ledger)
measured band: 93.6% (n=1945)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2529)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Strongest leg · risky
92.7%
Under 6.5 goals
top model pick, but the gate holds it back (league or evidence not proven) — informational, not advice.
HIGH risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
72.7%
Draw
16.5%
Away win
10.9%
calibrated 07 Nov 18:02
scoring fit λ 2.63 / μ 0.96
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 127 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
10.9%
|
9.18x | 59.8% n=127 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
16.5%
|
6.08x | 59.8% n=127 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
72.7%
|
1.38x | 59.8% n=127 | solid | won |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 7 meetings — GKS Katowice … 7W / 0D / 0L
· momentum GKS Katowic… 3.0 ppg vs Akademia Pi… 1.5 ppg
GKS Katowice Women · last 6
07 Nov · Ekstraliga Women
3-0
W
31 Oct · Ekstraliga Women
1-4
W
18 Oct · Ekstraliga Women
3-0
W
03 Oct · Ekstraliga Women
1-2
W
26 Sep · Ekstraliga Women
6-0
W
22 Aug · Ekstraliga Women
2-1
W
Akademia Piłkarska LG · last 6
07 Nov · Ekstraliga Women
3-0
L
31 Oct · Ekstraliga Women
2-2
D
17 Oct · Ekstraliga Women
1-1
D
03 Oct · Ekstraliga Women
3-1
W
27 Sep · Ekstraliga Women
1-1
D
29 Aug · Ekstraliga Women
2-1
W
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Ekstraliga Women
GKS Katowice Wo… 3-0 Akademia Piłkar…
30 May 26 · Ekstraliga Women
GKS Katowice Wo… 3-0 Akademia Piłkar…
08 Nov 25 · Ekstraliga Women
Akademia Piłkar… 2-5 GKS Katowice Wo…
19 Apr 25 · Ekstraliga Women
GKS Katowice Wo… 4-0 Akademia Piłkar…
28 Sep 24 · Ekstraliga Women
Akademia Piłkar… 0-2 GKS Katowice Wo…
Tickets including this match