Gó
HOME
Ekstraliga Women
Górnik Łęczna Women vs UJ Krakow Women
Sat 07 Nov 18:00 0 minutes final 2–2 · settledUJ
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Home or Draw · 88.4%
why
• league OK (58.3%, n=12)
• type ledger 80% (n=1986)
league track
ok · 58.3% of 12 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 32.0%)
draws 21.7% of matches
team history 12/12 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-1X: 79.9% hit (n=1986, 90d ledger)
measured band: 85.0% (n=293)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 76.0% hit (n=2522)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
88.4%
Home or Draw
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
72.1%
Draw
16.3%
Away win
11.6%
calibrated 07 Nov 18:02
scoring fit λ 2.35 / μ 0.81
model–market gap 0.0%
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 127 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
11.6%
|
8.62x | 59.8% n=127 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
16.3%
|
6.15x | 59.8% n=127 | risky | won |
| top Home win |
72.1%
|
1.39x | 59.8% n=127 | solid | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 5 meetings — Górnik Łęczna… 3W / 1D / 1L
· momentum Górnik Łęcz… 1.33 ppg vs UJ Krakow W… 0.83 ppg
Górnik Łęczna Women · last 6
07 Nov · Ekstraliga Women
2-2
D
03 Nov · Ekstraliga Women
1-3
L
31 Oct · Ekstraliga Women
3-0
W
18 Oct · Ekstraliga Women
1-1
D
03 Oct · Ekstraliga Women
1-2
L
26 Sep · Ekstraliga Women
1-3
W
UJ Krakow Women · last 6
07 Nov · Ekstraliga Women
2-2
D
31 Oct · Ekstraliga Women
0-0
D
21 Oct · Ekstraliga Women
0-2
L
18 Oct · Ekstraliga Women
3-0
L
04 Oct · Ekstraliga Women
4-1
W
27 Sep · Ekstraliga Women
2-0
L
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Ekstraliga Women
Górnik Łęczna W… 2-2 UJ Krakow Women
04 Apr 26 · Ekstraliga Women
Górnik Łęczna W… 0-1 UJ Krakow Women
20 Sep 25 · Ekstraliga Women
UJ Krakow Women 0-1 Górnik Łęczna W…
09 Jun 24 · Ekstraliga Women
UJ Krakow Women 1-4 Górnik Łęczna W…
10 Feb 24 · Ekstraliga Women
Górnik Łęczna W… 2-1 UJ Krakow Women