HOME
Premier Division
St Joseph S Fc vs Europa Point
Sat 07 Nov 17:30 0 minutes final 5–0 · 1 won · 0 lost
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 93.1%
why
• league PROVEN (91.3%, n=23)
• type ledger 75% (n=2264)
league track
proven · 91.3% of 23 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 73.2%)
draws 18.3% of matches
team history 10/9 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2264, 90d ledger)
measured band: 87.7% (n=57)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.4% hit (n=3032)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
93.1%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (93.1%)
@ 07 Nov 17:57
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
91.1%
Draw
6.9%
Away win
2.0%
calibrated 07 Nov 17:57
scoring fit λ 3.65 / μ 0.52
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 02 Nov · 188 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
2.0%
|
50.56x | 69.1% n=188 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
6.9%
|
14.52x | 69.1% n=188 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
91.1%
|
1.1x | 69.1% n=188 | solid | won |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 11 meetings — St Joseph S Fc 10W / 0D / 1L
· momentum St Joseph S… 2.67 ppg vs Europa Point 1.5 ppg
St Joseph S Fc · last 6
07 Nov · Premier Division
5-0
W
30 Oct · Premier Division
1-1
D
25 Oct · Premier Division
5-0
W
18 Oct · Premier Division
0-8
W
10 Oct · Premier Division
2-0
W
19 Sep · Premier Division
0-6
W
Europa Point · last 6
07 Nov · Premier Division
5-0
L
01 Nov · Premier Division
0-3
L
16 Oct · Premier Division
6-1
L
11 Oct · Premier Division
7-0
W
19 Sep · Premier Division
1-2
W
12 Sep · Premier Division
4-2
W
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Premier Division
St Joseph S Fc 5-0 Europa Point
04 Mar 26 · Premier Division
Europa Point 0-7 St Joseph S Fc
17 Aug 25 · Premier Division
St Joseph S Fc 6-0 Europa Point
22 Dec 24 · Premier Division
Europa Point 1-6 St Joseph S Fc
22 Sep 24 · Premier Division
St Joseph S Fc 4-0 Europa Point
Tickets including this match