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Premier League 2 Division One

Birmingham City U21 vs West Ham United U21

Fri 06 Nov 15:00 0 minutes final 2–2 · 0 won · 1 lost
AWAY
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Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 82.2%
why
• league OK (67.4%, n=46)
• type ledger 78% (n=2297)
league track
ok · 67.4% of 46 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 53.0%)
draws 23.3% of matches
team history 14/17 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 78.5% hit (n=2297, 90d ledger)
measured band: 80.2% (n=698)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 76.6% hit (n=3049)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
82.2%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade
Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins solid (82.2%)
@ 06 Nov 10:44
pick lost
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
25.8%
Draw
17.8%
Away win
56.5%
calibrated 06 Nov 10:44
scoring fit λ 1.47 / μ 2.26
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 291 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
pickchancefairbacktestverdictresult
top Away win
56.5%
1.77x 50.5% n=291 lean lost
Draw
17.8%
5.62x 50.5% n=291 risky won
Home win
25.8%
3.88x 50.5% n=291 risky lost
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 2 meetings — Birmingham Ci… 0W / 1D / 1L · momentum Birmingham … 0.17 ppg vs West Ham Un… 0.67 ppg
Birmingham City U21 · last 6
06 Nov · Premier League 2 Divi… 2-2 D
03 Nov · National League Cup 3-1 L
30 Oct · Premier League Cup 0-3 L
23 Oct · Premier League 2 Divi… 5-0 L
19 Oct · Premier League 2 Divi… 0-4 L
13 Oct · National League Cup 3-0 L
West Ham United U21 · last 6
06 Nov · Premier League 2 Divi… 2-2 D
03 Nov · National League Cup 2-0 L
30 Oct · Premier League Cup 1-2 L
23 Oct · Premier League 2 Divi… 3-1 W
20 Oct · Premier League Intern… 1-5 L
16 Oct · Premier League 2 Divi… 4-2 L
Head-to-head last 5
06 Nov 26 · Premier League 2 Divi… Birmingham City… 2-2 West Ham United…
19 Sep 25 · Premier League 2 Divi… West Ham United… 3-0 Birmingham City…