NetScore Engine v2

Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED

RECOMMENDED

Draw or Away · 81.6%

book 1.35x · even 1.30-1.55x

why

• league PROVEN (77.4%, n=53)

• type ledger 77% (n=658)

• priced 1.35x - band hits ~65% (60d)

league track

proven · 77.4% of 53 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 64.5%)

draws 28.3% of matches

team history 13/14 games (180d)

bet type · time of day

DC-X2: 76.6% hit (n=658, 90d ledger)

measured band: 72.3% (n=65)

afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)

What we suggest

All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.

Recommended

81.6%

Draw or Away

engine's strongest option for this match

MED risk

Safer

74.2%

Away, draw refunds

safest leg we would still back — lower variance, smaller payout.

Value

No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.

PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick. Upgrade

Pick validation — what the engine actually published

This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.

Draw or Away solid (81.6%)

@ 08 Nov 17:25 · 1.35x

pick won

1X2 — engine vs market

Home win

18.4%

Draw

28.5%

Away win

53.0%

calibrated 08 Nov 17:25

scoring fit λ 1.07 / μ 1.87

model–market gap 0.0%

Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID

backtested 28 Oct · 334 matches of this league

fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value. green ≥ 66% amber 45–66% red < 45% BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.

1X2

pick	chance	fair	backtest	verdict	result
top Away win	53.0%	1.89x	52.7% n=334	risky	won
Draw	28.5%	3.5x	52.7% n=334	risky	lost
Home win	18.4%	5.43x	52.7% n=334	risky	lost

Form & head-to-head

H2H record: 1 meetings — Al Akhdoud 0W / 0D / 1L · momentum Al Akhdoud 0.17 ppg vs Al Jabalain 2.67 ppg

Al Akhdoud · last 6

08 Nov · First Division League… 0-1 L

03 Nov · First Division League… 4-3 L

20 Oct · First Division League… 1-3 L

14 Oct · First Division League… 1-1 D

08 Oct · First Division League… 1-5 L

14 Sep · First Division League… 4-2 L

Al Jabalain · last 6

08 Nov · First Division League… 0-1 W

02 Nov · First Division League… 3-0 W

28 Oct · First Division League… 1-0 W

21 Oct · First Division League… 0-1 W

13 Oct · First Division League… 1-3 W

20 Sep · First Division League… 0-0 D

Head-to-head last 5

08 Nov 26 · First Division League… Al Akhdoud 0-1 Al Jabalain

Al Akhdoud vs Al Jabalain