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Esiliiga B
JK Tabasalu vs Tulevik
Sun 08 Nov 12:30 0 minutes final 1–2 · 1 won · 0 lost
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 87.4%
why
• league PROVEN (84.2%, n=19)
• type ledger 75% (n=2258)
league track
proven · 84.2% of 19 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 62.4%)
draws 10.0% of matches
team history 28/26 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2258, 90d ledger)
measured band: 79.9% (n=303)
afternoon 12-18 kickoffs: 74.5% hit (n=3023)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
87.4%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (87.4%)
@ 08 Nov 10:38
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
50.3%
Draw
12.6%
Away win
37.1%
calibrated 08 Nov 10:38
scoring fit λ 2.24 / μ 1.89
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 28 Oct · 181 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
37.1%
|
2.7x | 56.4% n=181 | risky | won |
| Draw |
12.6%
|
7.92x | 56.4% n=181 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
50.3%
|
1.99x | 56.4% n=181 | risky | lost |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 4 meetings — JK Tabasalu 1W / 0D / 3L
· momentum JK Tabasalu 0.33 ppg vs Tulevik 1.0 ppg
JK Tabasalu · last 6
08 Nov · Esiliiga B
1-2
L
31 Oct · Esiliiga B
1-1
D
24 Oct · Esiliiga B
2-1
L
19 Oct · Esiliiga B
0-0
D
14 Oct · Esiliiga B
2-1
L
11 Oct · Esiliiga B
1-2
L
Tulevik · last 6
08 Nov · Esiliiga B
1-2
W
31 Oct · Esiliiga B
6-1
L
25 Oct · Esiliiga B
2-1
L
17 Oct · Esiliiga B
2-3
L
10 Oct · Esiliiga B
1-2
W
03 Oct · Esiliiga B
1-3
L
Head-to-head last 5
08 Nov 26 · Esiliiga B
JK Tabasalu 1-2 Tulevik
11 Jul 26 · Esiliiga B
JK Tabasalu 2-0 Tulevik
24 May 26 · Esiliiga B
Tulevik 3-2 JK Tabasalu
07 Mar 26 · Esiliiga B
Tulevik 6-1 JK Tabasalu
Tickets including this match