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Premier League
Polessya vs Veres Rivne
Sat 07 Nov 18:00 0 minutes final 2–0 · 1 won · 0 lost
AWAY
Pick identifiers — why this card reads RECOMMENDED
RECOMMENDED
Either team wins · 82.3%
why
• league OK (65.5%, n=29)
• type ledger 75% (n=2265)
• draw-prone league - 'either team wins' dies on draws
league track
ok · 65.5% of 29 graded picks (60d, wilson lo 47.3%)
draws 30.0% of matches draw-prone
team history 24/22 games (180d)
bet type · time of day
DC-12: 75.1% hit (n=2265, 90d ledger)
measured band: 76.6% (n=679)
evening 18-24 kickoffs: 75.9% hit (n=2529)
What we suggest
All options come from ONE reconciled probability grid — they cannot contradict each other.
Recommended
82.3%
Either team wins
engine's strongest option for this match
MED risk
Value
No priced leg clears this league's minimum edge yet. Publishing unpriced legs would mislead — so we show none.
PAID exposes bookmaker odds, exact edges and every value pick.
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Pick validation — what the engine actually published
This grades the engine's ledger bet, not the board's suggestion. When the published leg was rated risky while a stronger leg existed, it is flagged.
Either team wins
solid (82.3%)
@ 07 Nov 17:58
pick won
1X2 — engine vs market
Home win
79.0%
Draw
17.6%
Away win
3.4%
calibrated 07 Nov 17:58
scoring fit λ 2.37 / μ 0.44
Every market — chance, price & backtest proof DC, totals & BTTS tables for PAID
backtested 31 Oct · 31 matches of this league
fair = engine's own price (1 ÷ chance); book above fair = value.
green ≥ 66%
amber 45–66%
red < 45%
BT = backtest hit-rate for this league · pick = engine's ledger bet.
1X2
| pick | chance | fair | backtest | verdict | result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away win |
3.4%
|
29.81x | 67.7% n=31 | risky | lost |
| Draw |
17.6%
|
5.67x | 67.7% n=31 | risky | lost |
| top Home win |
79.0%
|
1.27x | 67.7% n=31 | solid | won |
Form & head-to-head
H2H record: 12 meetings — Polessya 6W / 4D / 2L
· momentum Polessya 2.67 ppg vs Veres Rivne 0.5 ppg
Polessya · last 6
07 Nov · Premier League
2-0
W
28 Oct · Cup
2-0
W
24 Oct · Premier League
3-0
W
18 Oct · Premier League
3-1
W
11 Oct · Premier League
2-2
D
18 Sep · Premier League
1-0
W
Veres Rivne · last 6
07 Nov · Premier League
2-0
L
31 Oct · Premier League
1-3
L
27 Oct · Cup
0-1
W
24 Oct · Premier League
0-2
L
16 Oct · Premier League
2-0
L
09 Oct · Premier League
0-3
L
Head-to-head last 5
07 Nov 26 · Premier League
Polessya 2-0 Veres Rivne
05 Apr 26 · Premier League
Polessya 1-1 Veres Rivne
29 Sep 25 · Premier League
Veres Rivne 1-4 Polessya
02 Apr 25 · Cup
Veres Rivne 0-1 Polessya
11 Mar 25 · Premier League
Veres Rivne 5-1 Polessya
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